For households and firms, these changes to economic management do not imply cheaper
government. Expressed as a share of GDP, tax receipts peaked in the 1984-85 fiscal
year at 38.8%. Thereafter, it declined to 32.6% nine years later but since 1993-94
it has been rising again.
According to the 2009 Budget, the Chancellor’s projections show net taxes and national
insurances contributions at 35.1% of GDP in 2008-09 and staying in this area through
to 2013-14.
These forecasts are however based on some optimistic assumptions about growth and
if performance falls short, the tax share could well be higher.