The unprecedented instability that started in the second half of 2008 was in part
related to the UK economy, in part to the global economy and in part to the international
banking system.
When survival rather than prosperity is the over-riding economic concern, the role
of competition policy is less clear, and the government sponsored merger of Lloyds
Bank and HBOS seemed to suggest that the normal rules would be put on hold until
the recession was over.
The UK Competition Commission has argued that the existing policy still applies
and points to the recent completion of investigations into Groceries, Airports,
Railway Rolling Stock and Payment Protection Insurance as evidence that it is business
as usual.
It was felt, however, that the banking system was an exception, because of the risk
of contagion. If one major food supermarket collapsed, for instance, it would not
put the others at risk.
The collapse of one bank, however, could easily spark a panic that puts the whole
system at risk. There was a clear need for a fresh look at banking regulation but
not so as to exclude the ability of financial institutions to compete with each
other.
There was also an awareness that regulators and banks may want to make new entry
more difficult in order to restore profitability and in the interests of safety
and prudence.
While not suspending policy, the official view is that the competition authorities
must not be too doctrinaire and have to accept that parts of merger analysis has
to reflect the prevailing conditions, recognising that in genuine instances of firm
failure, less reliance has to be placed on expectations of new entry to correct
market power.
The task is to hold the line on policy while understanding that asserting the general
principle that ‘competition is good’ is a much harder to apply in periods of recession.